── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Novak Djokovic
Jan Lennard Struff
89%11%
Hard: 92% / 8%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 91% / 9%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Jan Lennard Struff
67th · average
Return
Novak Djokovic
97th · elite
Jan Lennard Struff
44th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#76
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
GER
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Novak Djokovic■ Jan Lennard Struff
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard7–0
Clay1–0
── 8 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR16Novak Djokovic6-3 6-3 6-2
2021-11-27Davis Cup Finals RR: SRB vs GERHardRRNovak Djokovic6-2 6-4
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsHardR32Novak Djokovic6-4 6-3
2020-08-31Us OpenHardR32Novak Djokovic6-3 6-3 6-1
2020-08-24Cincinnati MastersHardQFNovak Djokovic6-3 6-1
2020-01-20Australian OpenHardR128Novak Djokovic7-6(5) 6-2 2-6 6-1
2019-05-27Roland GarrosClayR16Novak Djokovic6-3 6-2 6-2
2017-01-02DohaHardR32Novak Djokovic7-6(1) 6-3