── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 92% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Novak Djokovic
Jan Lennard Struff
92%8%
Hard: 94% / 6%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 94% / 6%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Jan Lennard Struff
61th · average
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Jan Lennard Struff
50th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#3
model rank
#102
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
GER
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Novak DjokovicJan Lennard Struff
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard70
Clay10
── 8 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR16Novak Djokovic6-3 6-3 6-2
2021-11-27Davis Cup Finals RR: SRB vs GERHardRRNovak Djokovic6-2 6-4
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsHardR32Novak Djokovic6-4 6-3
2020-08-31Us OpenHardR32Novak Djokovic6-3 6-3 6-1
2020-08-24Cincinnati MastersHardQFNovak Djokovic6-3 6-1
2020-01-20Australian OpenHardR128Novak Djokovic7-6(5) 6-2 2-6 6-1
2019-05-27Roland GarrosClayR16Novak Djokovic6-3 6-2 6-2
2017-01-02DohaHardR32Novak Djokovic7-6(1) 6-3