── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 92% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Jan Lennard Struff
92%8%
Hard: 94% / 6%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 94% / 6%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Jan Lennard Struff
61th · average
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Jan Lennard Struff
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#3
model rank
#102
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
GER
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Jan Lennard Struff
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard7–0
Clay1–0
── 8 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R16 | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021-11-27 | Davis Cup Finals RR: SRB vs GER | Hard | RR | Novak Djokovic | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2021-07-24 | Tokyo Olympics | Hard | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2020-08-31 | Us Open | Hard | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-3 6-1 |
| 2020-08-24 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | QF | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2020-01-20 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Novak Djokovic | 7-6(5) 6-2 2-6 6-1 |
| 2019-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R16 | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-2 6-2 |
| 2017-01-02 | Doha | Hard | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 7-6(1) 6-3 |

