── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 97% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Daniel Evans
97%3%
Hard: 97% / 3%
Clay: 96% / 4%
Grass: 95% / 5%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Daniel Evans
6th · poor
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Daniel Evans
30th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#3
model rank
#171
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
GBR
188cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Daniel Evans
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-2 6-0 |
| 2021-04-12 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R16 | Daniel Evans | 6-4 7-5 |