── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Grigor Dimitrov
85%15%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#3
model rank
#41
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
BUL
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Grigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard9–0
Clay2–1
Grass2–0
── 14 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | SF | Novak Djokovic | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2023-10-30 | Paris Masters | Hard | F | Novak Djokovic | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 4-6 6-1 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 7-6(7) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2019-10-28 | Paris Masters | Hard | SF | Novak Djokovic | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2018-08-13 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R16 | Novak Djokovic | 2-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2018-06-18 | Queen's Club | Grass | R16 | Novak Djokovic | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2016-10-31 | Paris Masters | Hard | R16 | Novak Djokovic | 4-6 6-2 6-3 |
| 2014-09-29 | Beijing | Hard | QF | Novak Djokovic | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2014-06-23 | Wimbledon | Grass | SF | Novak Djokovic | 6-4 3-6 7-6(2) 7-6(7) |
| 2013-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 6-2 6-2 6-3 |
| 2013-05-05 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Grigor Dimitrov | 7-6(6) 6-7(8) 6-3 |
| 2013-03-07 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 7-6(4) 6-1 |
| 2012-10-07 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-2 |

