── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Novak Djokovic
Grigor Dimitrov
85%15%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 88% / 12%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#3
model rank
#41
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
BUL
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Novak DjokovicGrigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard90
Clay21
Grass20
── 14 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardSFNovak Djokovic6-2 6-3
2023-10-30Paris MastersHardFNovak Djokovic6-4 6-3
2023-05-08Rome MastersClayR32Novak Djokovic6-3 4-6 6-1
2023-01-16Australian OpenHardR32Novak Djokovic7-6(7) 6-3 6-4
2019-10-28Paris MastersHardSFNovak Djokovic7-6(5) 6-4
2018-08-13Cincinnati MastersHardR16Novak Djokovic2-6 6-3 6-4
2018-06-18Queen's ClubGrassR16Novak Djokovic6-4 6-1
2016-10-31Paris MastersHardR16Novak Djokovic4-6 6-2 6-3
2014-09-29BeijingHardQFNovak Djokovic6-2 6-4
2014-06-23WimbledonGrassSFNovak Djokovic6-4 3-6 7-6(2) 7-6(7)
2013-05-27Roland GarrosClayR32Novak Djokovic6-2 6-2 6-3
2013-05-05Madrid MastersClayR32Grigor Dimitrov7-6(6) 6-7(8) 6-3
2013-03-07Indian Wells MastersHardR32Novak Djokovic7-6(4) 6-1
2012-10-07Shanghai MastersHardR32Novak Djokovic6-3 6-2