── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Novak Djokovic
Yannick Hanfmann
89%11%
Hard: 92% / 8%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 97% / 3%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Yannick Hanfmann
83th · strong
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Yannick Hanfmann
33th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#3
model rank
#63
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
GER
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Novak DjokovicYannick Hanfmann
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Clay10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-11-02AthensHardSFNovak Djokovic6-3 6-4
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR32Novak Djokovic4-6 7-5 6-3
2024-05-20GenevaClayR16Novak Djokovic6-3 6-3