── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 94% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Novak Djokovic
Mackenzie Mcdonald
94%6%
Hard: 93% / 7%
Clay: 98% / 2%
Grass: 96% / 4%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#3
model rank
#132
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
USA
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Novak DjokovicMackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR128Novak Djokovic6-3 6-3 6-3