── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Cameron Norrie
84%16%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#3
model rank
#36
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
SRB
country
GBR
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Cameron Norrie
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Clay3–0
Grass1–0
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 6-4 6-7(4) 6-2 6-3 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R16 | Novak Djokovic | 6-2 6-3 6-2 |
| 2025-05-18 | Geneva | Clay | SF | Novak Djokovic | 6-4 6-7(6) 6-1 |
| 2023-11-23 | Davis Cup Finals QF: SRB vs GBR | Hard | RR | Novak Djokovic | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-06-27 | Wimbledon | Grass | SF | Novak Djokovic | 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-4 |
| 2021-11-15 | Tour Finals | Hard | RR | Novak Djokovic | 6-2 6-1 |