── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 96% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Pedro Martinez
96%4%
Hard: 96% / 4%
Clay: 93% / 7%
Grass: 99% / 1%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Pedro Martinez
41th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#3
model rank
#151
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
ESP
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Pedro Martinez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-2 6-2 |