── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 94% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Alexandre Muller
94%6%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 91% / 9%
Grass: 99% / 1%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#3
model rank
#133
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
FRA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Alexandre Muller
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Novak Djokovic | 6-1 6-7(7) 6-2 6-2 |
| 2023-08-28 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Novak Djokovic | 6-0 6-2 6-3 |