── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Novak Djokovic
Roman Safiullin
86%14%
Hard: 91% / 9%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 92% / 8%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Roman Safiullin
70th · strong
Return
Novak Djokovic
97th · elite
Roman Safiullin
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#3
model rank
#42
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
RUS
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Novak Djokovic■ Roman Safiullin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
Hard2–0
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-05WimbledonGrassR16Novak Djokovic7-6(6) 6-3 3-6 6-2
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersHardR16Novak Djokovic6-3 6-2
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersClayR32Novak Djokovic6-1 6-2
2022-09-26Tel AvivHardSFNovak Djokovic6-1 7-6(3)