── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Taylor Fritz
76%24%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#3
model rank
#15
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
USA
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Taylor Fritz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard8–0
Clay3–0
── 11 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | QF | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 7-5 3-6 6-4 |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | SF | Novak Djokovic | 6-4 7-6(6) |
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | QF | Novak Djokovic | 7-6(3) 4-6 6-2 6-3 |
| 2023-08-28 | Us Open | Hard | QF | Novak Djokovic | 6-1 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | QF | Novak Djokovic | 6-0 6-4 |
| 2022-11-14 | Tour Finals | Hard | SF | Novak Djokovic | 7-6(5) 7-6(6) |
| 2021-11-01 | Paris Masters | Hard | QF | Novak Djokovic | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2021-05-10 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2021-02-08 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 7-6(1) 6-4 3-6 4-6 6-2 |
| 2019-05-06 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2019-04-15 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R16 | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-0 |

