── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Hubert Hurkacz
89%11%
Hard: 93% / 7%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 89% / 11%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Hubert Hurkacz
94th · elite
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Hubert Hurkacz
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#3
model rank
#60
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
POL
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Hubert Hurkacz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–0
Hard3–0
Grass2–0
── 8 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-18 | Geneva | Clay | F | Novak Djokovic | 5-7 7-6(2) 7-6(2) |
| 2023-11-13 | Tour Finals | Hard | RR | Novak Djokovic | 7-6(1) 4-6 6-1 |
| 2023-07-03 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Novak Djokovic | 7-6(6) 7-6(6) 5-7 6-4 |
| 2023-02-27 | Dubai | Hard | QF | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-05-02 | Madrid Masters | Clay | QF | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-11-01 | Paris Masters | Hard | SF | Novak Djokovic | 3-6 6-0 7-6(5) |
| 2019-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 7-5 6-7(5) 6-1 6-4 |
| 2019-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Novak Djokovic | 6-4 6-2 6-2 |