── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Nuno Borges
85%15%
Hard: 88% / 12%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 95% / 5%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Nuno Borges
81th · strong
Return
Novak Djokovic
97th · elite
Nuno Borges
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#3
model rank
#35
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
POR
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Nuno Borges
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 7-6(2) |
| 2025-11-02 | Athens | Hard | QF | Novak Djokovic | 7-6(1) 6-4 |