── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 88% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Corentin Moutet
88%12%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 94% / 6%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#3
model rank
#57
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
SRB
country
FRA
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-2 7-6(1) |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2019-10-28 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 7-6(2) 6-4 |

