── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 88% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Novak Djokovic
Corentin Moutet
88%12%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 94% / 6%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#3
model rank
#57
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
SRB
country
FRA
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Novak DjokovicCorentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
Hard10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR64Novak Djokovic6-3 6-2 7-6(1)
2024-05-06Rome MastersClayR64Novak Djokovic6-3 6-1
2019-10-28Paris MastersHardR32Novak Djokovic7-6(2) 6-4