── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Felix Auger Aliassime
75%25%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Novak Djokovic
97th · elite
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#3
model rank
#11
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
CAN
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Felix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Wimbledon | Grass | QF | Novak Djokovic | 7-6(10) 3-6 6-3 6-7(4) 7-6(4) |
| 2022-09-23 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome Masters | Clay | QF | Novak Djokovic | 7-5 7-6(1) |