── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 91% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
91%9%
Hard: 96% / 4%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 100% / 0%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#3
model rank
#82
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
ARG
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 6-1 7-6(1) |