── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Sebastian Korda
76%24%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#3
model rank
#16
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
USA
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Sebastian Korda
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | QF | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2023-01-02 | Adelaide 1 | Hard | F | Novak Djokovic | 6-7(8) 7-6(3) 6-4 |