── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 93% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Novak Djokovic
Aleksandar Kovacevic
93%7%
Hard: 93% / 7%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 99% / 1%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Aleksandar Kovacevic
68th · average
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Aleksandar Kovacevic
3th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#3
model rank
#113
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
USA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Novak DjokovicAleksandar Kovacevic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR32Novak Djokovic6-4 1-6 6-4
2023-05-29Roland GarrosClayR128Novak Djokovic6-3 6-2 7-6(1)