── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Jack Draper
80%20%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 91% / 9%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#3
model rank
#26
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
SRB
country
GBR
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Jack Draper
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Grass1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Jack Draper | 4-6 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Novak Djokovic | 4-6 6-1 6-2 6-2 |