── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Flavio Cobolli
84%16%
Hard: 92% / 8%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 93% / 7%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Return
Novak Djokovic
97th · elite
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#36
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
ITA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | QF | Novak Djokovic | 6-7(6) 6-2 7-5 6-4 |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Novak Djokovic | 6-1 6-2 |