── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 93% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Novak Djokovic
Rinky Hijikata
93%7%
Hard: 93% / 7%
Clay: 97% / 3%
Grass: 96% / 4%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Rinky Hijikata
12th · poor
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Rinky Hijikata
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#3
model rank
#112
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
AUS
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Novak DjokovicRinky Hijikata
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardR64Novak Djokovic6-0 7-6(1)
2024-12-30BrisbaneHardR32Novak Djokovic6-3 6-3