── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 93% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Novak Djokovic
Valentin Royer
93%7%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 91% / 9%
Grass: 96% / 4%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Valentin Royer
43th · average
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Valentin Royer
18th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#3
model rank
#118
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
FRA
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Novak DjokovicValentin Royer
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR64Novak Djokovic6-3 6-2 6-7(7) 6-3