── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Jakub Mensik
78%22%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 98% / 2%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Jakub Mensik
84th · strong
Return
Novak Djokovic
97th · elite
Jakub Mensik
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#3
model rank
#21
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
CZE
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Jakub Mensik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R16 | Novak Djokovic | W/O |
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | F | Jakub Mensik | 7-6(4) 7-6(4) |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | QF | Novak Djokovic | 6-7(4) 6-1 6-4 |

