── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Novak Djokovic
Jakub Mensik
75%25%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 98% / 2%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Jakub Mensik
85th · strong
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Jakub Mensik
77th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#3
model rank
#13
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
CZE
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Novak DjokovicJakub Mensik
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR16Novak DjokovicW/O
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardFJakub Mensik7-6(4) 7-6(4)
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersHardQFNovak Djokovic6-7(4) 6-1 6-4