── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Novak Djokovic
Learner Tien
77%23%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 98% / 2%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Learner Tien
68th · average
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#3
model rank
#17
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
SRB
country
USA
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Novak Djokovic■ Learner Tien
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Novak Djokovic | 6-1 7-6(3) 6-2 |