── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Fabio Fognini
Alexander Bublik
16%84%
Hard: 16% / 84%
Clay: 28% / 72%
Grass: 16% / 84%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Fabio Fognini
4th · poor
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Return
Fabio Fognini
43th · average
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#148
model rank
#24
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
KAZ
178cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Fabio Fognini■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-28 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Alexander Bublik | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2023-11-06 | Metz | Hard | R16 | Fabio Fognini | 4-6 7-6(7) 7-6(5) |