── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Fabio Fognini
Tommy Paul
14%86%
Hard: 14% / 86%
Clay: 18% / 82%
Grass: 17% / 83%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Fabio Fognini
6th · poor
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Return
Fabio Fognini
44th · average
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#153
model rank
#16
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
178cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Fabio Fognini■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-1 6-0 6-2 |
| 2019-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Fabio Fognini | 7-6(3) 6-3 |