── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Altmaier 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Fabio Fognini
Daniel Altmaier
37%63%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 69% / 31%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Fabio Fognini
4th · poor
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Return
Fabio Fognini
43th · average
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#148
model rank
#103
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GER
178cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Fabio FogniniDaniel Altmaier
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass01
Hard20
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-22MallorcaGrassR32Daniel Altmaier6-3 3-6 6-3
2022-08-08Canada MastersHardQ2Fabio Fognini6-3 4-6 6-2
2022-01-10SydneyHardR32Fabio Fognini6-3 7-5