── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rinky Hijikata 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Fabio Fognini
Rinky Hijikata
35%65%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 33% / 67%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Fabio Fognini
6th · poor
Rinky Hijikata
19th · poor
Return
Fabio Fognini
44th · average
Rinky Hijikata
51th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#153
model rank
#95
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
AUS
178cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Fabio Fognini■ Rinky Hijikata
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | Q2 | Fabio Fognini | 6-4 5-7 7-5 |