── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Luciano Darderi 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Fabio Fognini
Luciano Darderi
23%77%
Hard: 32% / 68%
Clay: 17% / 83%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Fabio Fognini
6th · poor
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Return
Fabio Fognini
44th · average
Luciano Darderi
66th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#153
model rank
#42
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Fabio Fognini■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R128 | Fabio Fognini | 6-4 6-7(5) 6-4 |
| 2024-06-10 | Perugia CH | Clay | QF | Luciano Darderi | 6-1 6-2 |