── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Fabio Fognini a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Fabio Fognini
Tristan Schoolkate
51%49%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 47% / 53%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Fabio Fognini
6th · poor
Tristan Schoolkate
39th · below avg
Return
Fabio Fognini
44th · average
Tristan Schoolkate
8th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#153
model rank
#158
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
AUS
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Fabio Fognini■ Tristan Schoolkate
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-11 | Cap Cana CH | Hard | R32 | Fabio Fognini | 1-6 6-3 6-2 |