── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Fabio Fognini a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Fabio Fognini
Tristan Schoolkate
52%48%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 47% / 53%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Fabio Fognini
4th · poor
Tristan Schoolkate
33th · below avg
Return
Fabio Fognini
43th · average
Tristan Schoolkate
9th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#148
model rank
#154
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
AUS
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Fabio FogniniTristan Schoolkate
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-03-11Cap Cana CHHardR32Fabio Fognini1-6 6-3 6-2