── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luca Van Assche 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Fabio Fognini
Luca Van Assche
40%60%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 73% / 27%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Fabio Fognini
4th · poor
Luca Van Assche
15th · poor
Return
Fabio Fognini
43th · average
Luca Van Assche
79th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#148
model rank
#115
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
178cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Fabio FogniniLuca Van Assche
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Grass10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-07-22UmagClayR32Fabio Fognini6-4 6-3
2024-07-01WimbledonGrassR128Fabio Fognini6-1 6-3 7-5