── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes James Duckworth a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roberto Bautista Agut
James Duckworth
49%51%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 77% / 23%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roberto Bautista Agut
34th · below avg
James Duckworth
57th · average
Return
Roberto Bautista Agut
72th · strong
James Duckworth
11th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#122
model rank
#117
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Roberto Bautista AgutJames Duckworth
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard12
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR128Roberto Bautista Agut7-6(3) 7-6(4)
2021-11-01Paris MastersHardR64James Duckworth6-4 5-7 7-6(4)
2013-10-07Shanghai MastersHardQ1James Duckworth3-6 6-2 7-6(3)