── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Roberto Bautista Agut 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Roberto Bautista Agut
Bernard Tomic
62%38%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 64% / 36%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Roberto Bautista Agut
36th · below avg
Bernard Tomic
11th · poor
Return
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#130
model rank
#174
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
AUS
183cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Roberto Bautista Agut■ Bernard Tomic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–1
Hard2–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-22 | Mallorca | Grass | R16 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2019-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2016-10-10 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-3 3-0 RET |
| 2016-06-27 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Bernard Tomic | 6-2 6-4 6-4 |