── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roberto Bautista Agut 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roberto Bautista Agut
Thanasi Kokkinakis
58%42%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 84% / 16%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roberto Bautista Agut
34th · below avg
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Return
Roberto Bautista Agut
72th · strong
Thanasi Kokkinakis
54th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#122
model rank
#149
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
AUS
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Roberto Bautista AgutThanasi Kokkinakis
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-08-05Canada MastersHardQ2Thanasi Kokkinakis5-7 7-5 6-4
2023-01-09Adelaide 2HardSFRoberto Bautista Agut7-6(4) 3-6 6-3