── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Roberto Bautista Agut 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Roberto Bautista Agut
Thanasi Kokkinakis
59%41%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 78% / 22%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Roberto Bautista Agut
36th · below avg
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Return
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average
Thanasi Kokkinakis
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#130
model rank
#164
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
AUS
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Roberto Bautista Agut■ Thanasi Kokkinakis
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | Q2 | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 5-7 7-5 6-4 |
| 2023-01-09 | Adelaide 2 | Hard | SF | Roberto Bautista Agut | 7-6(4) 3-6 6-3 |