── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roberto Bautista Agut
Karen Khachanov
25%75%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 47% / 53%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roberto Bautista Agut
34th · below avg
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Roberto Bautista Agut
72th · strong
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#122
model rank
#34
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
RUS
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Roberto Bautista AgutKaren Khachanov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard42
Clay04
Grass20
── 12 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR64Karen Khachanov6-3 6-3
2024-04-22Madrid MastersClayR64Karen Khachanov3-6 6-3 7-5
2024-02-05MarseilleHardR16Karen Khachanov6-2 6-2
2023-04-24Madrid MastersClayR32Karen Khachanov7-5 4-6 6-3
2022-02-14DohaHardSFRoberto Bautista Agut2-6 6-3 7-5
2020-08-24Cincinnati MastersHardR16Roberto Bautista Agut4-6 6-3 6-2
2019-07-01WimbledonGrassR32Roberto Bautista Agut6-3 7-6(3) 6-1
2019-05-13Rome MastersClayR32Karen Khachanov5-7 6-4 6-2
2019-01-14Australian OpenHardR32Roberto Bautista Agut6-4 7-5 6-4
2018-06-18HalleGrassQFRoberto Bautista Agut6-3 6-7(3) 6-3
2017-02-27DubaiHardR32Roberto Bautista Agut6-1 7-6(4)
2016-04-18BarcelonaClayR32Karen Khachanov6-2 6-7(4) 6-3