── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Roberto Bautista Agut
Tommy Paul
17%83%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 30% / 70%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Roberto Bautista Agut
36th · below avg
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Return
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#130
model rank
#16
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
USA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Roberto Bautista Agut■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–1
Grass0–1
Hard1–2
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Tommy Paul | 6-2 7-6(3) 6-2 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | R16 | Tommy Paul | 6-2 4-6 6-2 7-5 |
| 2022-10-31 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-08-09 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-05-10 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-04-12 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-3 6-4 |