── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Roberto Bautista Agut
Frances Tiafoe
24%76%
Hard: 23% / 77%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 63% / 37%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Roberto Bautista Agut
34th · below avg
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Return
Roberto Bautista Agut
72th · strong
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#122
model rank
#31
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
USA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Roberto Bautista Agut■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-18 | Hamburg | Clay | R16 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2019-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-3 3-6 6-1 |