── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Roberto Bautista Agut
Brandon Nakashima
18%82%
Hard: 19% / 81%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 33% / 67%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Roberto Bautista Agut
36th · below avg
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#130
model rank
#17
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
USA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Roberto Bautista Agut■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–2
Grass1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-2 7-5 6-2 |
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-4 6-0 |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-06-19 | Halle | Grass | R16 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 7-5 7-6(2) |