── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Martin Damm a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Adrian Mannarino
Martin Damm
44%56%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 84% / 16%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Martin Damm
82th · strong
Return
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Martin Damm
2th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#130
model rank
#109
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
FRA
country
USA
180cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Adrian MannarinoMartin Damm
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-02MontpellierHardSFAdrian Mannarino1-6 6-3 6-4