── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marin Cilic 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Marin Cilic
44%56%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 16% / 84%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Marin Cilic
76th · strong
Return
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Marin Cilic
43th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#107
model rank
#81
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
CRO
180cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Marin Cilic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Grass0–2
Clay0–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | R32 | Marin Cilic | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2019-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Marin Cilic | 7-6(6) 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2017-10-02 | Tokyo | Hard | SF | Adrian Mannarino | 6-7(5) 6-4 6-0 |
| 2015-06-15 | Queen's Club | Grass | R32 | Marin Cilic | 7-6(3) 3-6 6-2 |
| 2007-05-28 | Roland Garros | Clay | Q1 | Marin Cilic | 6-2 6-3 |