── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes James Duckworth a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Adrian Mannarino
James Duckworth
47%53%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 74% / 26%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
James Duckworth
57th · average
Return
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
James Duckworth
11th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#130
model rank
#117
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
AUS
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Adrian MannarinoJames Duckworth
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
Grass11
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-14Los CabosHardR32James Duckworth6-3 6-4
2024-02-05DallasHardQFAdrian Mannarino6-2 3-1 RET
2022-01-17Australian OpenHardR128Adrian Mannarino6-4 2-6 3-6 6-2 6-1
2021-06-07StuttgartGrassR32James Duckworth6-3 6-2
2016-07-11NewportGrassR32Adrian Mannarino6-7(3) 7-6(5) 7-6(4)