── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Adrian Mannarino a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Nikoloz Basilashvili
56%44%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Return
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Nikoloz Basilashvili
23th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#106
model rank
#135
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
GEO
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Nikoloz Basilashvili
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | R128 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-3 2-2 RET |
| 2024-09-09 | Rennes CH | Hard | R16 | Adrian Mannarino | 7-6(5) 3-6 6-3 |
| 2021-11-01 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2017-02-06 | Sofia | Hard | R32 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 7-6(7) 7-6(3) |