── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Adrian Mannarino a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Christopher Oconnell
53%47%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 28% / 72%
Grass: 82% / 18%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Return
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#130
model rank
#142
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
AUS
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Christopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass2–0
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-2 6-4 6-3 |
| 2025-06-09 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | R32 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2022-08-22 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R64 | Adrian Mannarino | 7-6(4) 6-7(3) 7-6(3) |