── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Adrian Mannarino 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Yoshihito Nishioka
65%35%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Yoshihito Nishioka
23th · below avg
Return
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Yoshihito Nishioka
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#107
model rank
#167
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
FRA
country
JPN
180cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Yoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard3–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-02 | Birmingham CH | Grass | R32 | Adrian Mannarino | 7-6(1) 3-2 RET |
| 2024-02-05 | Dallas | Hard | R16 | Adrian Mannarino | W/O |
| 2022-02-07 | Dallas | Hard | R16 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2020-11-02 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 |