── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Adrian Mannarino 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Zhizhen Zhang
64%36%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 14% / 86%
Grass: 63% / 37%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Zhizhen Zhang
42th · average
Return
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Zhizhen Zhang
11th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#106
model rank
#162
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
CHN
180cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Zhizhen Zhang
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | 's-Hertogenbosch | Grass | QF | Adrian Mannarino | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Zhizhen Zhang | 6-1 6-3 |