── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jordan Thompson 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Jordan Thompson
38%62%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 55% / 45%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Return
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#130
model rank
#80
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
AUS
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–3
Grass4–1
── 11 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2024-10-28 | Paris Masters | Hard | R16 | Jordan Thompson | 7-5 7-6(5) |
| 2023-07-31 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Jordan Thompson | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2023-07-17 | Newport | Grass | QF | Adrian Mannarino | 6-0 6-7(4) 6-2 |
| 2023-06-12 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | QF | Jordan Thompson | 5-7 7-6(2) 6-2 |
| 2023-02-06 | Dallas | Hard | R16 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-2 7-6(3) |
| 2019-06-10 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | F | Adrian Mannarino | 7-6(7) 6-3 |
| 2019-01-07 | Sydney | Hard | R32 | Jordan Thompson | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2018-07-16 | Newport | Grass | R16 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-2 7-6(4) |
| 2017-06-12 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | R32 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-4 6-1 |