── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nicolas Jarry a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Nicolas Jarry
49%51%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 11% / 89%
Grass: 59% / 41%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Return
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#130
model rank
#126
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
CHI
180cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Nicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-02 | Birmingham CH | Grass | R16 | Adrian Mannarino | 7-6(6) 6-3 |
| 2023-10-23 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Nicolas Jarry | 7-6(6) 6-7(2) 6-4 |