── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Bublik 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Adrian Mannarino
Alexander Bublik
25%75%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 6% / 94%
Grass: 36% / 64%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Return
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Alexander Bublik
49th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#107
model rank
#28
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
KAZ
180cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Adrian Mannarino■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–2
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-02US OpenHardR64Alexander Bublik6-3 6-1 6-1
2025-09-25BeijingHardR32Adrian Mannarino6-3 6-2
2020-01-06DohaHardR32Alexander Bublik6-3 6-4