── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Adrian Mannarino 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Adrian Mannarino
Pedro Martinez
57%43%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 89% / 11%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
Return
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Pedro Martinez
41th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#130
model rank
#151
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
ESP
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Adrian MannarinoPedro Martinez
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-02MontpellierHardR32Adrian Mannarino7-6(3) 6-1