── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Adrian Mannarino
Alejandro Tabilo
31%69%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 7% / 93%
Grass: 74% / 26%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#106
model rank
#38
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Left
FRA
country
CHI
180cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Adrian Mannarino■ Alejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-25ChengduHardR16Adrian Mannarino6-4 6-4