── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Matteo Berrettini
26%74%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 5% / 95%
Grass: 26% / 74%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Return
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#130
model rank
#38
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
180cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Matteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Matteo Berrettini | 4-6 7-5 7-5 |
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R128 | Adrian Mannarino | 7-5 7-6(5) |
| 2018-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-4 6-4 6-4 |